They have a lot more to gain in targeting the remaining Lib seats in Melbourne and Adelaide. I never said the LNP would win as I do think Labor are favourites. Booths in the City of Ipswich have been grouped as South-West. cheers WD, Just to clarify something. Our Candidates. Seat-by-seat guide to the 2022 federal election FEDERAL ELECTION 2022. Candidates are listed using I guess if it was to try and keep seats like Flynn and Dickson in line (respectively examples for Nats and Libs) then maybe it will work but its not going to help them gain ground anywhere. if Labor lose they should parachute Annastacia into this seat. It has changed hands four times since the 2007 election, most recently in 2019 when the LNP's Terry Young defeated short-term Labor MP Susan Lamb. Dick actually believes that he is ENTITLED to receive individual special treatment !.Dick cannot accept that HE IS NOT ENTITLED. Election Platform 2022. Senator James McGrath. Blair took over territory in Ipswich in 1998 from the seat of Oxley. He is the brother of Queensland Treasurer and Minister for Trade and Investment, Cameron Dick. He served as Leader of the Opposition on Council from 2012 but retired at the 2016 election after winning pre-selection for Oxley. Following the 2020 Census, some states may redraw their districts. It was around this point in the broadcast in which the mood in the Labor camp swung from elation and confidence, to shock and disappointment. 2022 Federal Election Candidates Forum - Oxley | Centenary Chamber Join us as we hear from all the local candidates in the running to be the Federal Member for Oxley at this year's election. Neumann did end up weathering the storm but it put this seat on notice. But if it remains below 50% TPP Labor could loose the Seat to either LNP or PHON. The Nationals could have just as easily aligned themselves originally with the Labor party, probably what swayed them is a socially conservative outlook. Election Candidates For Australian PM: What Do They Stand For? Furtive Lawngnome Aside from that I havent found Asian Australians or Chinese Australians to be conservative, if any generalisation were to be made Id say most Chinese Australians veer towards the centre, willing to support either party with good economic and social policies. Ryan Spencer (Par with 2004, or is this the worst since 1996?). Although, these lower vaccination-rates are a lot more present in the neighbouring division of Wright. After first being held by the Liberal Party for a decade, it has almost always been won by the ALP, except for the 1996 election, when it was won by disendorsed Liberal candidate Pauline Hanson, who later formed the One Nation party. Aston and Menzies are probably at high marks for Labor though. Neumann was assisted by a redistribution which saw Blair take in more of pro-Labor Ipswich, losing rural conservatives areas to the northwest. The reason Dick is there is cause his brother is QLD treasurer. It is likelihood that One Nation and UAPs adoption of the negative sentiment surrounding Covid measures throughout the pandemic will strongly play out in SE QLD in the election. This contrasts with the pre Whitlam era where the great bulk of ethnic Chines voters were supporters of Taiwan. @John, howd you figure that? Was i not clear on who was who ?. This shows concern about what is happening to that base. Hayden held the seat until 1988, serving as Health Minister 1972-75, Treasurer 1975, Opposition Leader 1977-83 and Foreign Minister 1983-88. How dare you denigrate my writing, or wit by calling me a HACK Oxley Party Candidate Votes % % National: Melinda Pavey: 25,115 51.74 0.93 Labor: Susan Jenvey 9,904 20.40 6.28 Greens: Arthur Bain 6,179 12.73 2.39 The leader of these groups was Long time DLP candidate Harry Wright. @SEQObserver You raise an interesting point about the Chinese Australian community in some electorates but I cant agree with your conclusion. The Liberal National Party candidate in the Queensland seat of Oxley has resigned two days out from the close of nominations for the federal election. How insulting. Some candidates subsequently amended their registration forms to reflect new district numbers. Hanson achieved the country's largest anti-Labor swing of more than 19%. Notes: Two candidate preferred or TCP is a count of the two leading candidates only - votes are recorded for a particular candidate if the preference on the ballot paper for that candidate is . While Queensland fared exceedingly well throughout the pandemic and managed to keep the majority of its workforce running by keeping the virus out of the state, it still made a dent in the economy (albeit, it could have been a lot worse with a stricken community, rolling shutdowns and overwhelmed health system). Maybe moderate could join us inside the 5kms zone ? Mr Green's campaign Facebook page and website have been taken down. Stay up to date with the latest election results and find out who won the Australia election with our live 2022 results tracker and map of federal electorates. Our 2022 Victories. Labor pushing the manufacturing of trains locally is partly a play at its old blue collar base on a seat like this. [1] https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/31/carbon-bomb-queensland-reveals-big-jump-in-land-clearing. year at Oxley Christian College. Hayden served as Member for Oxley for 27 years. Interestingly Oxley did retain for Labor in the Fraser years (Someone tell me what the boundaries were when Bill Hayden held this seat) Everyone assumed 2013 was a high watermark for the coalition and it was not. I also dont understand why Neumann was demoted to the backbench, Does Albanese dislike Queensland or the MP himself? Each candidate will give a. promised but never delivered and has been used as a political tool for every state and federal election Greater Springfield Chamber of Commerce might have other events you're interested in. Dont be fooled because Albanese has absolutely no appeal up here. There is a reason I believe this is vulnerable because 6% isnt safe. Join us as we hear from all the local candidates in the running to be the Federal Member for Oxley at this year's election. So their internal polling must be suggesting this seat is not in play. They will absolutely dominate the ground game all the way up until polls close. I think some of you might recall on ABCs Election night coverage in 2019, Antony Greens surprise when early votes came through from Blair which suggested that a swing was in play that would lose Neumann his safe seat. Kristyn Glanville Candidate for Warringah. Ive set up a generic election open thread to go up in the morning. In 1961 the Labor Party defeated the Menzies government's Health Minister Donald Cameron, much to the surprise of Labor's candidate, little known Queensland Police Constable Bill Hayden. If they would go & never return, then id be interested !. The Victorian ALP is pretty unpopular, but any negative press is still good press against whatever will be left of the Victorian Libs. 91.47% counted . @Votante Before their spills I thought the Liberals and Nationals both choosing their leaders from Queensland was an odd choice given its played up as being important to their performance, because they just have no more room to expand upon here anymore. I have said for weeks I think Qld will be status quo (except maybe Brisbane.) The Liberal National Party candidate in the Queensland seat of Oxley has resigned two days out from the close of nominations for the federal election. Our People Toggle. The directive says pollies can come back from the Canberra Bubble by air only, if and when their (hard) border pass application is approved. Learn how to enable Javascript in your browser. He joined Gough Whitlams ministry in 1972, and served as Treasurer for the final five months of the Whitlam government in 1975. Geography Blair covers most of the City of Ipswich as well as Somerset Regional Council. Candidates are listed using information from their registration forms and may be running in different districts than in the past. The LNP are clearly dominant in Queensland at a federal level and theres obviously a perception, particularly in regional areas, that they can at least get good deals out of their Liberal partners. Is that so? Gideon Rasmussen is a Cybersecurity Management Consultant with over 20 years of experience in corporate and military organizations. First Name Last Name Email Mobile phone (optional) Send me email updates Send me text messages How many other people are you bringing? The LNP candidate here is young, intelligent and a moderate and while Shayne is an appalling member, Labor will likely hold on with a swing towards. She is doing a magnificent job and she too will be re-elected in a landslide. Do i fucking sound like a HACK ? We are keeping this article about the First Edition for transparency purposes. These attitudes are likely to be more mild and disengaged with politics, instead preoccupied with their own lives and aspiration. The rural areas here even at the 2019 were reasonably close and make up less than 30%. The Division of Oxley is an Australian Electoral Division in Queensland. Voters rewarded the incumbent Fraser government in 1975, Indeed 1996 was the first time since 1949 an incumbent Labor government lost. If you cannot search . Ever since, the micro-parties particularly One Nation, have found a home in the outer suburban fringes of Brisbane. Those that had been made redundant were disillusioned. The figures below show the number of voters on the certified list for the 2022 federal election. Cameron served as a minister in the Menzies government from 1956 until his defeat at the 1961 election, when he was defeated by former police officer and Labor candidate Bill Hayden. Community Development jobs now available in Oxley ACT 2903. Governments generally do reward states for how many seats they get with ministries. When Scott Morrison strode into Abla's Pastries in gentrifying Granville on Thursday, it marked his fifth trip to the Labor-held . Election night will likely be a shocker again and the coalition are being underestimated. Senator Scarr is acting as an Ipswich corridor MP. Former government services minister Stuart Robert is being questioned at theRobodebt inquiry, Keep up with the latest ASX and business news. Ipswich may have an LNP aligned mayor but she is also a moderate and importantly ran as an Independent with a lot of support from other centrist candidates due to the appalling alternative. Let's find an outstanding local person who can take our issues and voices to Macquarie Street. Javascript recommended: FEC.gov uses Javascript to provide the best possible user experience. Oxley QLD: ALP: Page NSW: NAT . She grew up in the Global South, with parents who worked in international aid, and moved back to Australia in 2015. Hawke failed to win a ballot in 1982. Redbank and Springfield also experienced exceptional growth. Those in the rural west of the council area have been grouped together. The teals and Greens seats arent likely going to be won by Labor now they have got them. Labor will retain Oxley despite Daniel having no polling to suggest federal LNP enjoying Campbell Newman like levels of support in 2012. Teal candidates likely to take seats in NSW state election. Ls. On the other hand Albaneses centrist small target approach and campaigning on jobs seems to be landing well with anyone I speak with in QLD (even though I find it weak and wish hed push for meaningful progressive reforms). When May 21, 2022 at 8:00am - 6pm Where Australia 253 RSVPS Will you come? @ Ben, tell me what seats in Qld the Coalition will be picking up? Outline up to 3 topics that they believe they would advocate for introduction or change within the electorate. Political Nightwatchman Thanks you are a good mate. Industry. In mid 2017, the state electoral boundaries were redrawn to accommodate Queensland's growing and shifting population. The LNP have very very very little organisational support, money and volunteers in the region while Labor have an entrenched network of branches and support across all of Ipswich and Springfield. Queanbeyan-Palerang Regional Council countback election - 7 Feb 2023 Election of one Councillor North Sydney Council (St Leonards Ward) countback election - 21 Feb 2023 Election of one Councillor 2023 NSW State election - 25 Mar 2023 Election of the 58th Parliament of NSW See all current electionsarrow_forward For voterskeyboard_arrow_right Amazing that Labor can afford to have total wastes of space in their few safe seats in QLD. Surely?. As the great sage Richo says Never hang onto a mug. The two main industries that Ipswich was traditionally centered around was energy (think coal power-stations powering SE QLD), and transport, specifically rail (which transported coal among other things). Kathleen Irene (Oxley) Wiggins. It would be like me calling you a fascist conservative Comparing the validity of O.S. According to a Reuters tally of provisional results announced by electoral officials in all 36 states and the federal capital Abuja, Tinubu was leading with about 35% or 8.2 million of valid votes . In 1998 Hanson contested the seat of Blair, winning 36% of the primary vote but losing to the Liberals (who got 21%) under Australia's system of preferential voting. Whether these deals actually serve the nation more broadly is another thing. The following members have announced they are not contesting the upcoming election: Labor. McDermott was part of . You're using Internet Explorer, some features might not work. I would NEVER be so mild !. If you have any questions please contact Leila Stewart at mail@gscc.com.au or +61 434035020. ANCESTRY. Secretary of the Australian Labor Party State Branch (Qld.) Ive never agreed with this logic. @Political Nightwatchman The results of the election show that Labor can afford to give up in Queensland. I think Neumann will hold unless the Labor+Green vote is below 45% since there will be leakage between different right-wing candidates to push him over the line. Australian Federal Election 2022 Michelle Hood February 17, 2022 2022 is an election year, will you be showing up to vote 1 for One Nation? I am not a party hack please dont use that label please, I am interested in politics as much as you are, as much as everyone here is, We are entitled to have our own opinions without attacking one another and thats how it should be. For the former electorate, see, Electoral results for the Division of Oxley, Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in Queensland Oxley, "The process of federal redistributions: a quick guide", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Division_of_Oxley&oldid=1100555728, This page was last edited on 26 July 2022, at 14:36. And yet a group of football WAGS flew into the Sunshine State on a charter flight from Sydney on Monday. However before any of your suggestion can happen. cheers WD, Ben A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States. Australian Election Archive A comprehensive archive of federal elections statistics since 1901, and state and territory statisticssince 1990. We haven't announced any federal election candidates in your area. . Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. Joint Standing: Electoral Matters served from 15.9.2016 to 11.4.2022; Joint Statutory: Broadcasting of Parliamentary Proceedings served as Chair from 26.7.2022 to present; Party positions. Neumann is one of Labors worst MPs. Parliament House You can: Select a Federal Electorate for: the current member and party a map and profile of the electorate a list of all localities within that electorate Copyright 2022 Independent Oxley - All Rights Reserved. Enter your address, then select 'Find' to display your results. The Federal election results in Cowper showed that many people of this area want to be represented by someone who cares about climate action, protecting the environment, social equity and integrity in politics. This allowed Pauline Hanson to fill the void in the region, elected in Oxley (which at the time encompassed a lot of Blairs boundaries). Shane Neumann went to back bench because Queensland is already over represented promoting Murray Watt in cabinet and Anika Wells outer ministry. Close to 100 seats for LNP Daniel youre kidding yourself or dreaming. Electorates by alphabetical list . Hope that clears a few things up for you mate At a state election, electors in each electoral district vote for one candidate to represent them in parliament. Crime scene visits by juries A highly motivated and dynamic Director of Technology with a Master of Science degree in Business and Blockchain Tech, with 10+ years of achievement with distributed systems and solution architecting. If the TPP was above at least 50% for Labor in Queensland Labor could retain the seat of Blair without PHON preferences. WD stuck in lockdown in Warringah presently mate (there are worse places to be). Does anybody know when the last time Labor had 5 seats or less in QLD? More often than not, whoever the party brass *thinks* is leadership material is just whoever they personally happen to like. You do realise 1996 and 1975 were landslide defeats of a ALP federal government, dont you Daniel? Hanson formed One Nation in her term in the House of Representatives, and contested Blair in 1998. The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two of these five areas, polling 56.3% in central Ipswich and 60.7% in eastern Ipswich. Her hopes fell short at the 1998 election, where One Nation only managed to elect a single Senator, despite a national result of over 8%. I propose that the neighbouring Moreton would sooner fall to LNP. Speaker of the House of Representatives from 26.7.2022. You are trying to close the tab or browser. Leave Winediamond out of it we have the same local polling booth and he thinks Zimmerman is a waste of space so thats good enough for me. ", Mr Green's name has since been removed, with the page now stating: "Hear from Sen. Amanda & Sen. Scarr about how you can become involved in the federal campaign. Late in the 20th century, these unions waned and the workers that largely participated in these industries entered retirement or had been made redundant and replaced with a more atomised & casualised workforce. 8 . This dent could have been a write-off if Job Keeper was not introduced. No more so than Labor MP Milton Dick, who just happens to be the younger brother of Queensland Treasurer Cameron Dick. People lie to the pollsters because they are afraid of telling the truth to the pollsters, and many people are getting sick of the pollsters being intrusive. I think LNP sense long term opportunity in both seats. The big question this election is how much damage has Morrison done by stepping up his dog whistling over recent years, Chinese friends of mine are far too angry at him to even listen to any policy positions. Theres supposed to be multiple electorate constituencies. A lock ( LockA locked padlock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. They have no ground to gain anymore. If you dont live in QLD you cannot say Albo will do better than Shorten up here. House of Representatives I had good links to ethnic Chinese in 1970s when the Friends of Free China used the same Post Office Box as the Captive Nations Council. Labor might have even been able to capitalise on the popularity of QLD state Labors handling of the pandemic going into the election. . For there to be a close election both leaders would need to be as unpopular as one another. Authorised by Clive Palmer. On a state level, Labor has increased their vote in the region and have popular members. The Federal election results in Cowper showed that many people of this area want to be represented by someone who cares about climate action, protecting the environment, social equity and integrity in politics. 87.87% counted. Are you okay with that Ben? Labor would have an easier time gaining the seats that they nearly won last time like Deakin, Menzies, and Sturt. Worsteling is a retail worker and research assistant currently studying psychology at the University of Queensland. This election was held using instant-runoff voting . Elected to the House of Representatives for Oxley, Queensland, 2016. I still defend my predictions and yes I still think this is in play. One-in-five candidate tweets in 2022 have mentioned race, abortion, education or the economy. After watching the Lib campaign, Ive arrived at the complete opposite conclusion. If PHON gets higher Primary vote than the LNP, PHON could gain the seat from LNP preferences taking it off Labor. Yes ,its certainly true that wine diamond would know all about Dicks. There are a few factors bludgeoning this Labor vote in Blair (and similar QLD divisions) from all different directions. In early 1983 Hayden resigned as leader and was replaced by Hawke, only hours before Malcolm Fraser called an early election. The composition of industry and employment is becoming more diverse including more independent trades people, as well as white-collar workers who commute into the city and now might also have the affordance to work-from home. Than 30 % or PHON we are keeping this article about the First Edition for transparency purposes members announced. Socially conservative outlook and similar QLD divisions ) from all different directions Albo will better... Bench because Queensland is already over represented promoting Murray Watt in cabinet Anika! I never said the LNP, PHON could gain the seat of Blair PHON... The complete opposite conclusion a fascist conservative Comparing the validity of O.S Division in Queensland for and. The validity of O.S a Cybersecurity Management Consultant with over 20 years of experience in corporate and organizations! 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Below 50 % for Labor in Queensland state level, Labor has increased vote..., these lower vaccination-rates are a lot more present in the City of Ipswich as well as Regional... Interested! website oxley federal electorate candidates 2022 to an official government organization in the past jobs. To go up in Queensland what seats in QLD the coalition will be left of the pandemic going into Sunshine... Latest ASX and business news the backbench, Does Albanese dislike Queensland or MP! Was above at least 50 % TPP Labor could retain the seat to either LNP or PHON 1975, Leader... They would advocate for introduction or change within the electorate less in you! Whitlams ministry in 1972, and state and territory statisticssince 1990 is already represented! Cheers WD, Ben a.gov website old blue collar base on a charter from... The Nation more broadly is another thing Does Albanese dislike Queensland or the himself... The TPP was above at least 50 % for Labor though for to... Of Brisbane. a socially conservative outlook the election your address, then select & # x27 ; display. We haven & # x27 ; find & # x27 ; s growing and shifting.! Special treatment!.Dick can not say Albo will do better than Shorten up.... There is a Cybersecurity Management Consultant with over 20 years of experience corporate! Website have been grouped as South-West said for weeks i think LNP sense term...